Pescriptive Analysis: Understanding "What Should We Do?" with Real-World Examples
Hey there! Imagine you’re at a crossroads, trying to decide
which path to take. You’ve analyzed the past (descriptive analysis), understood
why things happened (diagnostic analysis), and even predicted what might happen
next (predictive analysis). But now, you’re faced with the ultimate
question: “What should we do?” That’s where Prescriptive
Analysis comes in. It’s the final piece of the puzzle, helping you
make the best possible decision based on data.
In this blog, we’ll break down what prescriptive analysis
is, why it’s important, and how it’s used in real-world scenarios. By the end,
you’ll understand how prescriptive analysis can guide you to take the right
action at the right time. Let’s dive in!
What Is Prescriptive Analysis?
Prescriptive analysis is the process of using data,
algorithms, and models to recommend the best course of action to achieve a
desired outcome. It answers the question, “What should we do?” by
combining insights from descriptive, diagnostic, and predictive analysis to
provide actionable recommendations.
Think of it like a GPS for decision-making. Descriptive
analysis tells you where you are, diagnostic analysis explains how you got
there, predictive analysis shows you possible routes, and prescriptive analysis
recommends the best route to reach your destination.
Why Is Prescriptive Analysis Important?
Prescriptive analysis is a game-changer because it helps us:
- Make
Better Decisions: It provides data-driven recommendations to achieve
the best outcomes.
- Optimize
Resources: It helps allocate resources (time, money, people) more
efficiently.
- Reduce
Risks: It identifies potential risks and suggests ways to mitigate
them.
- Improve
Efficiency: It streamlines processes and eliminates guesswork.
Key Components of Prescriptive Analysis
Prescriptive analysis typically involves the following
steps:
- Define
the Objective: Clearly state the goal you want to achieve (e.g.,
increase sales, reduce costs, and improve customer satisfaction).
- Collect
Data: Gather relevant data from descriptive, diagnostic, and predictive
analysis.
- Build
Models: Use algorithms and simulations to explore different scenarios
and outcomes.
- Evaluate
Options: Compare the potential outcomes of different actions.
- Recommend
Actions: Provide actionable recommendations based on the best possible
outcome.
- Implement
and Monitor: Take action and monitor the results to ensure the desired
outcome is achieved.
Real-World Examples of Prescriptive Analysis
To really understand prescriptive analysis, let’s look at
some real-world examples.
Example 1: Supply Chain Optimization
A retail company wants to optimize its supply chain to
reduce costs and improve delivery times. Here’s how prescriptive analysis can
help:
- Define
the Objective: Reduce supply chain costs while maintaining delivery
efficiency.
- Collect
Data: Gather data on inventory levels, supplier performance,
transportation costs, and customer demand.
- Build
Models: Use optimization algorithms to simulate different supply chain
scenarios.
- Evaluate
Options: Compare the costs and delivery times of different scenarios.
- Recommend
Actions: The analysis recommends consolidating shipments, switching to
a more cost-effective supplier, and adjusting inventory levels.
- Implement
and Monitor: The Company implements the recommendations and monitors
the results, achieving a 15% reduction in costs and faster delivery times.
Example 2: Personalized Marketing
An e-commerce company wants to increase sales by targeting
customers with personalized offers. Here’s how prescriptive analysis can help:
- Define
the Objective: Increase sales by 10% through personalized marketing.
- Collect
Data: Gather data on customer behavior, purchase history, and
preferences.
- Build
Models: Use machine learning algorithms to predict which products each
customer is most likely to buy.
- Evaluate
Options: Compare the potential impact of different marketing
strategies (e.g., discounts, bundles, recommendations).
- Recommend
Actions: The analysis recommends sending personalized product
recommendations and offering targeted discounts to high-value customers.
- Implement
and Monitor: The Company implements the strategy and achieves a 12%
increase in sales.
Example 3: Healthcare Treatment Plans
A hospital wants to improve patient outcomes by recommending
personalized treatment plans. Here’s how prescriptive analysis can help:
- Define
the Objective: Improve patient recovery rates by 20%.
- Collect
Data: Gather data on patient medical history, treatment outcomes, and
lifestyle factors.
- Build
Models: Use predictive models to identify the most effective
treatments for different patient profiles.
- Evaluate
Options: Compare the success rates of different treatment options.
- Recommend
Actions: The analysis recommends a combination of medication, physical
therapy, and lifestyle changes for each patient.
- Implement
and Monitor: The hospital implements the recommendations and sees a
25% improvement in recovery rates.
Example 4: Financial Portfolio Optimization
An investment firm wants to maximize returns for its clients
while minimizing risk. Here’s how prescriptive analysis can help:
- Define
the Objective: Maximize portfolio returns while keeping risk below a
certain threshold.
- Collect
Data: Gather data on stock performance, market trends, and economic
indicators.
- Build
Models: Use optimization algorithms to simulate different portfolio
compositions.
- Evaluate
Options: Compare the potential returns and risks of different
portfolios.
- Recommend
Actions: The analysis recommends a diversified portfolio with a mix of
high-growth and low-risk investments.
- Implement
and Monitor: The firm implements the portfolio and achieves a 10%
return with minimal risk.
How to Perform Prescriptive Analysis
Now that you’ve seen some examples, let’s talk about how to
perform prescriptive analysis. Here’s a step-by-step guide:
- Define
the Problem: Clearly state the goal you want to achieve.
- Collect
Data: Gather relevant data from descriptive, diagnostic, and
predictive analysis.
- Build
Models: Use algorithms, simulations, or optimization techniques to
explore different scenarios.
- Evaluate
Options: Compare the potential outcomes of different actions.
- Recommend
Actions: Provide actionable recommendations based on the best possible
outcome.
- Implement
and Monitor: Take action and monitor the results to ensure the desired
outcome is achieved.
Tools for Prescriptive Analysis
There are many tools available to help you perform
prescriptive analysis. Here are a few popular ones:
- Python:
A programming language with libraries like SciPy and PuLP for optimization
and modeling.
- R:
A statistical programming language with packages like lpSolve for linear
programming.
- Excel
Solver: A built-in tool for optimization problems in Excel.
- IBM
Decision Optimization: A powerful tool for prescriptive analytics and
optimization.
- Tableau:
A data visualization tool that supports prescriptive analytics.
When to Use Prescriptive Analysis
Prescriptive analysis is useful in a variety of situations,
including:
- Business
Strategy: Deciding the best course of action to achieve business
goals.
- Resource
Allocation: Optimizing the use of resources like time, money, and
people.
- Risk
Management: Identifying and mitigating potential risks.
- Healthcare:
Recommending personalized treatment plans for patients.
- Finance:
Optimizing investment portfolios or pricing strategies.
Limitations of Prescriptive Analysis
While prescriptive analysis is incredibly powerful, it has
its limitations:
- Data
Quality: The accuracy of recommendations depends on the quality of the
data.
- Complexity:
Some models can be difficult to build and interpret.
- Assumptions:
Prescriptive models are based on assumptions that may not always hold
true.
- Implementation
Challenges: Even the best recommendations are useless if they’re not
implemented effectively.
Final Thoughts
Prescriptive analysis is the ultimate tool for
decision-making. It takes the insights from descriptive, diagnostic, and
predictive analysis and turns them into actionable recommendations. Whether
you’re optimizing a supply chain, personalizing marketing campaigns, or
improving patient outcomes, prescriptive analysis helps you make the best
possible decisions.
So, the next time you’re faced with a tough decision,
remember: prescriptive analysis can help you answer the question, “What
should we do?” And with that knowledge, you’re one step closer to
achieving your goals.